On factfulness, meritocracy and other well-intentioned placebos
Can we satisfy discontent with "facts"? And is statistical validation of the status quo all that comforting?
Recently, I finished reading Hans Rosling’s excellent Factfulness
on a cheap flight filled to the rafters with young immigrants coming back to Belgium from a homeland holiday. They were returning to their insecure jobs, often low in pay and high in drudgery. To their small and crowded lodgings, where dozens of them live in insalubrious conditions, under roofs that have seen better days. To a country foreign to them, where their precarious presence will sometimes be viewed with suspicion and resentment. The contrast between Factfulness’s “reality is the things you can count and they are getting better” brand of scientific positivism* and what is so readily palpable in our everyday lived experience could not have been more striking. There is plenty to keep striving for in the world.
There I was, on a short-haul flight that was far too affordable, pumping CO2 into the atmosphere, surrounded by young people whose loss of hope in the future had prompted them to move abroad and live precariously. There they were, filling a cheap, bright yellow plane with riotous catcalling and questionable humour, seeking validation in camaraderie within their group – and through frankly appalling manners. I might be sensitive to social injustice but discourtesy is a transgression of the moral order I cannot tolerate. I am (half) joking.
Rosling’s Factfulness
reminded me of Michael Young’s dystopian satire The rise of meritocracy,
in that they both do away with political explanations of the world and of injustice by proposing a sort of scientific framework for understanding reality. In both cases, this removes the need for ethical interpretations. The world is what you can see and its trajectory is pointing upwards towards the sunlit uplands of progress.
Michael Young does this satirically, to highlight the blind spots, cruelty and hidden injustice in such a system. His meritocracy follows the formula IQ + EFFORT = MERIT. Written as an account from the year 2034, it describes a society reshaped so as to uproot the centuries old tradition of hereditary rule and fortune. Those who are most capable rise through the ranks, as opposed to those who are born into power and wealth. As he himself points out in his introduction to the 1994 edition, his narrator is a staunch advocate of meritocracy as an enlightened social arrangement, but doubt is embedded into the fabric of his account, like an unsettling shadow:
"That author was meant to be vulnerable. He was, as it were inadvertently, the mouthpiece for another story, showing how sad, and fragile, a meritocratic society could be. If the rich and powerful were encouraged by the general culture to believe that they fully deserved all they had, how arrogant they could become, and, if they were convinced it was all for the common good, how ruthless in pursuing their own advantage."
Hans Rosling proposes factfulness earnestly and with the best of intentions, highlighting important global progress and arguing for cool heads. He rightly highlights that our perceptions of reality are not always in line with global trends, berating alarmism and unfounded opinions not anchored in available evidence. However, in raising these important points so admirably, he weaves a narrative that is prey to its own blind spots and the very same fallacies he correctly critiques.
Thus, he gives the impression of pre-destined inevitability in global progress as different countries move up income levels. He generalises in suggesting uniformity of the lived experience within his income categories and (I hope I am wrong here) suggests that all levels except extreme poverty are largely acceptable. He distorts reality through his factual selections (for instance by highlighting three wildlife species no more critically endangered than they were in the 1990s, when the global context is one of notable habitat and species loss). Whilst his analysis of some of the factors contributing to contemporary anxieties is plausible (in the form of his identified series of primitive instincts), it is far from scientific, with no evident effort made to demonstrate a causal link to social attitudes.
Rosling’s underlying premise seems to be that the vestiges of our primitive brains are preventing us from accurately assessing the state of human progress, which is more advanced than we appreciate. The evident gap in his analysis is the impact of actual, observable, measurable injustices on our attitudes and perceptions of reality. It is not enough to highlight, as he does, that Brazil, one of the world’s most unequal societies, has inequality levels that are less extreme than they were several decades ago. Our collective social values have progressed in line with global economic advancements. They are a legitimate filter through which our worldview is shaped. It is therefore entirely reasonable to view social injustice as unacceptable, and to be concerned when presented with evidence of it. As Rosling himself points out, things can be both bad and better and his preference, which is his legitimate choice, is to focus on what is better. I agree with this but cannot help but notice his impatience with those who focus on what is bad, even though he acknowledges this is an important step towards “better”.
What if we are rightly anxious and concerned, albeit in an environment that heightens our fears (and I include our own instincts and pre-dispositions in this notion of “environment”)?
To claim that factually speaking, our discontent is more of an evolutionary hang-up than a substantiated response to our circumstances is primarily a political, rather than an epistemological gesture. Rosling’s reassuring facts, much like Young’s dystopian meritocracy (misunderstood as it has been for decades not as satire but as political vision), will be most palatable to those viewing the world from a position of privilege. They will offer solace to all who are uncomfortable with our polarised and fraught contemporary reality. What these well-meaning placebos will not do is tackle the underlying causes of division and discontent. And tackle them we must, lest they unravel, in their fury, the very systems and safeguards we have put in place to fight injustice and build a common future (democracy, multilateralism, tolerant and inclusive societies).
*(n.b. I am using positivism in its scientific sense rather than as a misnomer for optimism)
Image credit www.theguardian.com
By Andreea Petre-Goncalves
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